Carmaker Roadmaps to Self-Driving cars 2025

Leading carmakers’ roadmap and strategy to commercialize Autonomous Driving

Roadmap to Self-Driving cars 2025

Leading carmakers’ roadmap and strategy to commercialize Autonomous Driving

Roadmap to Self-Driving cars 2025

Market Status, forecasts, roadmap & strategy of leading OEMs to commercialise AD

Level 3 deployment is still subject to regional regulatory approval. However, the regulatory and legal framework differs across leading car markets. This could result in lack of harmonisation”
— Auto2x

LONDON, UK, November 11, 2019 / -- When will automated driving tech & regulation converge to allow the first L3 & L4 cars to hit the road? How do leading carmakers plan to commercialize automated driving?

What this report delivers

This report focuses on leading car manufacturers’ ADAS&AD portfolio, strategies and business models to transition towards full automation and self-driving cars.

Moreover, it examines the regulatory landscape and other technical challenges and their implications on deployment of higher level of vehicle autonomy.

Finally, we provide a technological roadmap for the introduction of L2-4 by leading OEM and a penetration forecast of cars equipped with different levels of autonomy until 2025.

Learn about the status of vehicle automation between 2016 and 2019:
- What is the availability of key ADAS features, such as AEB, TSR, ACC, LKA, TJA, in leading
carmakers in Europe, US and China? We provide in-depth segmentation by SAE Level; o What is the penetration rate of SAE Level 0, 1 and 2 in European car sales?
- Which OEMs lead L2 deployment in 2017-19 and why?
- What changes in 2019-20 in terms of deployment of L2 and L3?
Understand the regulatory and engineering challenges carmakers face for the deployment of a higher level of vehicle autonomy:
- What is the status of Autonomous Driving regulation in major car markets?
- What are the differences in the legal and regulatory framework in Europe and the United States and how this will affect L3-5 deployment?
- Which geography presents the most favorable environment for deployment of Level 3?
- What breakthroughs are required in the area of SW/HW and validation for L3-4?
Read how carmakers, Tier-1s and new-entrants, including tech giants Apple and Google (Waymo), plan to overcome the challenges and commercialize autonomous driving
- How do leading OEMs plan to achieve L4/5 capabilities and when?
- OEM strategy, new business models and key collaborations
- Learn why leading Tier-1s are well-positioned to monetize ADAS growth
Who will lead and who will follow in the autonomous vehicle race until 2025?
- Discover when leading carmakers will launch capabilities of L2, L3, L4, and L5 segmented into Driving (L2-TJA vs L3-TJP) and Parking features (e.g. L2-Self Park, L4-Valet Parking)
- What are the trends by ADAS levels in Top Premium OEMs’ model range during 2016-25? o Learn about the penetration of different levels of autonomy in European car sales in 2021
- Benchmark competition: strengths and weaknesses of ADAS&AD product portfolio,
suppliers and competitiveness

1. The status of Autonomous Driving deployment in 2016-17 (21 pages)

SAE Level 2 is already here whereas L3-D will hit the market in 2017
SAE Level 2 status in Europe in 2016: TJA, SP and RP availability in leading OEMs’ model range
L2-D status in Europe in 2016: Traffic Jam Assist (TJA) availability
Comparison of L2-D tech: speeds, lane change, hands-on detection, stop-in lane, and naming strategy
L2-P status in Europe 2016: Self-park and Remote Parking availability
L2 penetration in European car sales in 2016
L2 OEM ranking in 2016 vs 2017: leaders & followers
SAE Level 1 status in Europe in 2016: ACC, AEB CUI, PA and LKA availability in leading OEMs
SAE L0 in Europe: Availability of BSM, DDM, FCW, LDW, TSR in leading OEMs
Marketing names for ADAS L0/1 features in Top-6 Premium OEMs
SAE Level 3 testing pilots: who tests what and where
What does L3-Conditionally automated driving look like?

2. Regulatory, engineering and other challenges for the deployment of L3-L5 (17 pages)

Read why regulation challenges Autonomous Driving deployment
Overview of AD regulatory & legal status in key geographies in 2016
The amendment of Reg.79-Steering equipment will allow L3 deployment in Europe
Today are ADAS are assistive and hands-on the wheel are always required
Reg.79 amendment is the critical step towards self-steering systems
Three concerns arising from the UNECE Reg.79’s amendment
The USA has opened up the road to HAVs with the FAVP
State of AV testing in the United States in 2016/17
Concern over U.S Federal Autonomous Vehicle Policy
L3 automated driving to become legal in Germany from autumn 2017
The impact of AD regulation on L3 deployment
Technical challenges for deployment and other key factors affecting AD adoption
Liability in L3 and the role of Event Data Recorders for AD
Vehicle Cybersecurity becomes a top priority for carmakers
OEM and regulatory activity heats-up in major car markets
What is needed to secure Connected Cars

3. OEM-Tier 1 strategies to commercialize Autonomous Driving (5 pages)

Incremental vs skip approach to reach Highly automated driving
Building your own ADS platform vs collaboration
Learn why leading ADAS Suppliers are well-positioned to monetise ADAS growth
Use cases and business models to commercialize L4/5

4. From Assisted to Autonomous: L2-L5 roadmap from leading OEMs (27 pages)

Overview of L2-L5 Driving and Parking roadmap by OEM at earliest implementation
Trends from the AD roadmap of Top Premium OEMs 2016-2021
Autonomous driving technology deployment: leaders and followers
AD technology roadmap: key ADAS features and sensor set
Partial automation: from single to multi-lane, high-speed systems
The impact of EuroNCAP’s 2025 roadmap
Learn which geographies will lead L3 deployment
L4-Full automation and L5
L4/5-and new mobility concepts
The role of user experience, HMI, smartphones and in-car apps in L4/5
European car sales by level of automation during 2016-2021
Market shares of European car sales by level of automation during 2016-2021
OEM market shares in European car sales by ADAS level 2017 vs 2021

5. ADAS&AD portfolio & roadmap by leading OEM (29 pages)

ADAS feature availability in model range in 2016 and sensor set
AD outlook: product roadmap and model range by AD level 2016-2025:
Alfa Romeo
General Motors
Great Wall
Jaguar Land Rover
Renault-Nissan-Mitsubishi Alliance

Auto2x, Automotive Intelligence & Consulting
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