Summary:KEY ISSUES
Background: The large imbalances that accumulated prior to the global financial crisis culminated
in a collapse of the banking sector in early 2013. In response, the authorities took unprecedented
measures and adopted an economic adjustment program, supported by official financing, aimed at
securing financial stability and fiscal sustainability.
Recent developments and outlook: GDP contracted sharply in 2013. Wages and prices also declined,
and unemployment increased. While bank deposit outflows have slowed, non-performing loans have
risen sharply, and credit remains impaired. The outlook is difficult, with the recession expected
to continue this year, followed by a modest recovery starting next year. Risks remain tilted to the
downside.
Reform agenda: The authorities need to overcome recent delays in the implementation of their
adjustment program. A key priority is addressing high non-performing loans, which requires putting
in place a strong private-sector debt-restructuring framework, including legislation to facilitate
foreclosures, complemented by a modernized insolvency regime. Banks should continue to restructure
and build strong capital buffers. Removal of external-payment restrictions must proceed prudently.
Continued fiscal consolidation is required to ensure long-run sustainability, complemented by firm
implementation of structural reforms.
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