Summary:KEY ISSUES
The Swiss economy has regained momentum, but inflation remains close to zero. There has been no new
foreign exchange intervention, but past safe haven inflows have not yet reversed despite improved
market confidence toward the euro area and tapering in the United States. Notwithstanding policy
action, risks in the mortgage market remain elevated. The large systemic banks have continued to
strengthen capital and restructure their business models, but the financial sector reform agenda is
still incomplete.
Exchange Rate Policy: The exchange rate floor remains a necessary element of the monetary policy
framework, as inflation is still close to the bottom of the range compatible with the Swiss
National Bank’s (SNB) definition of price stability and renewed exchange rate appreciation, as
might arise from a new bout of safe haven inflows, would quickly bring back deflationary pressures.
The Mortgage Market: With monetary conditions remaining accommodative and housing prices growing
faster than incomes, measures to curb mortgage demand especially from the more vulnerable
households need to be strengthened.
The Banking Sector: Cooperation agreements with key foreign supervisors need to be reached to make
the large banks resolvable. More resources are required for prudential bank supervision, and closer
oversight and guidance to auditors performing supervisory audits are necessary. Deposit insurance
should be brought in line with emerging international best practices.
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