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Crises: Yesterday and Today

The International Monetary Fund will hold the Fourteenth Jacques Polak Annual Research Conference at its headquarters in Washington DC on November 7-8, 2013.

The theme of this year's conference is Crises: Yesterday and Today. The conference is intended to provide a forum for discussing innovative research on a wide range of issues on crises and to facilitate the exchange of views among researchers and policymakers.

This year s conference will also honor Stanley Fischer s contributions to economic research and policy. Fischer has extensively studied economic and financial crises, first as a faculty member at MIT, then as a policymaker, the Chief Economist of the World Bank, the First Deputy Managing Director of the IMF, and the Governor of the Bank of Israel. The conference will bring together an outstanding array of economists and policymakers, many of whom studied, or worked in collaboration with Fischer. Paul Krugman (Princeton University) will deliver the Mundell-Fleming Lecture.

The conference is open to the public and registration is required. To register for the conference (registration will include all conference sessions, the Mundell-Fleming Lecture, and the Economic Forum) please complete the online registration form. Registered attendees will be required to present photo identification on entering the IMF at 1900 Pennsylvania Avenue, N.W., Washington D.C. For questions regarding the conference, please send an email to ARC@imf.org.

Please note that, for this event, invitations for visa purposes will be extended only to the conference participants.

Crises: Yesterday and Today
Thursday, November 7, 2013

8:00–8:45 am

Registration and Continental Breakfast

8:45–9:15 am

Opening Remarks

9:15–10:35 am

Session 1: Capital Flows and Liquidity Provision

Chair: TBD

Unintended Consequences of LOLR Facilities: The Case of Illiquid Leverage

Viral V. Acharya (New York University’s Leonard N. Stern School of Business) and Bruce Tuckman (New York University’s Leonard N. Stern School of Business)

Discussant: Ricardo Caballero (MIT)

Macroeconomic Externalities

Emmanuel Farhi (Harvard University) and Ivan Werning (MIT)

Discussant: Guy Debelle (Reserve Bank of Australia)

10:35–10:50 am

***Coffee Break***

10:50–12:10pm

Session 2: Lessons—The Case of Japan and Monetary Policy Independence

Chair: TBD

Will the U.S. and Europe Avoid a Lost Decade? Lessons from Japan’s Post Crisis Experience

Takeo Hoshi (Stanford University) and Anil Kashyap (University of Chicago Booth School of Business)

Discussant: David Romer (University of California, Berkeley)

Goal Independence for Central Banks and Its Limits 20 Years On

Kenneth N. Kuttner (Williams College) and Adam S. Posen (Peterson Institute)

Discussant: Frederic Mishkin (Columbia Business School)

12:15–1:45 pm

***Lunch*** (By invitation only, HQ2, Conference Hall 2) Lunchtime Speaker: Mohamed El-Erian (Pimco)

1:45–3:45pm

Session 3: Lessons—Exchange Rate Regimes and Cost of Crisis

Chair: TBD

Pegs in Latin America, Lessons for Europe?

Ariel Burstein (UCLA) and Ivan Werning (MIT)

Discussant: Alberto Martin (IMF, CREI, UPF and Barcelona GSE)

Aggregate Supply in the United States: Recent Developments and Implications for the Conduct of Monetary Policy

David Reifschneider (Federal Reserve Board), William L. Wascher (Federal Reserve Board), and David W. Wilcox (Federal Reserve Board)

Discussant: Gregory Mankiw (Harvard University)

Are the Virtues of Managed Exchange Rate Regimes Underrated?

Atish R. Ghosh (IMF), Jonathan D. Ostry (IMF), and Mahvash S. Qureshi (IMF)

Discussant: Jeffrey Frankel (Harvard University)

3:45–4:00 pm

***Coffee Break***

4:00–5:30 pm

Mundell-Fleming Lecture

Paul Krugman (Princeton University)

Introduction by: Olivier Blanchard (Economic Counsellor and Director, Research Department, IMF)

Friday, November 8, 2013

8:30–9:15 am

Registration and Continental Breakfast

9:15–10:35 am

Session 4: Then and Now—Latin America

Chair: TBD

Latin America and the Global Financial Crisis

Roberto Alvarez (Universidad de Chile) and Jose De Gregorio (Universidad de Chile)

Discussant: Ilan Goldfajn (Itau Unibanco)

The Road to Redemption: Policy Response to Crises in Latin America

Guillermo Vuletin (The Brookings Institution) and Carlos A. Vegh (Johns Hopkins University)

Discussant: Vittorio Corbo (Pontificia Universidad Catolica)

10:35–10:50 am

***Coffee Break***

10:50–12:10 pm

Session 5: Then and Now—Policies and Resilience

Chair: TBD

The Federal Reserve’s Framework for Monetary Policy – Recent Changes and New Questions

William English (Federal Reserve Board), David L pez-Salido (Federal Reserve Board) and Robert Tetlow (Federal Reserve Board)

Discussant: Christina Romer (University of California, Berkeley)

Pick Your Poison: The Choices and Consequences of Policy Responses to Crises

Kristin Forbes (MIT Sloan School of Management) and Michael W. Klein (Tufts-Fletcher School)

Discussant: Jeffrey Sachs (Columbia University)

12:15–1:45 pm

***Lunch*** (By invitation only, HQ2, Conference Hall 2) Luncheon Remarks – Tribute to Stanley Fischer Ratna Sahay (IMF)

1:45–3:05 pm

Session 6: Then and Now—East Asia

Chair: TBD

This Time Is Different: East Asian Lessons for a Post-Crisis World

Anusha Chari (University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill) and Peter Blair Henry (New York University’s Leonard N. Stern School of Business)

Discussant: Morris Goldstein (Peterson Institute)

Never Say Never: Commentary on a Policymaker’s Reflections

Maurice Obstfeld (University of California, Berkeley)

Discussant: Carmen Reinhart (Harvard University)

3:05–3:30

***Coffee Break***

3:30–5:30

Economic Forum: Policy Responses to Crises

Moderator: Olivier Blanchard, Economic Counsellor and Director, Research Department, IMF

Panelists:

1. Ben Bernanke

2. Stanley Fischer

3. Kenneth Rogoff

Conference Organizing Committee: M. Ayhan Kose (Conference Chair, IMF; Co-Editor, IMF Economic Review), Suman Basu, Mai Dao, Davide Furceri, and Rafael Portillo, (All IMF) and Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas (Editor of the IMF Economic Review; University of California, Berkeley; and SciencesPo).

Conference Coordinator: Tracey Lookadoo