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New survey reveals fragile food industry confidence

11 October 2016

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Concerns are mounting within the largest manufacturing sector in the UK – food and drink – and confidence is becoming more fragile, a survey of Food and Drink Federation (FDF) members published today reveals. The survey coincides with quarterly figures from UK retailers showing food sales at their highest levels since 2013, suggesting a disparity between business and consumer confidence levels.

Following the UK's vote to leave the European Union (EU), a majority of food and drink companies responding to FDF's survey report increased ingredient prices, a drop in product margins, and concerns for the future raised by their EU workforce. More than two thirds (69.5%) of respondents are less confident about the UK business environment, with only around one in ten (11.2%) more confident.

FDF is calling for an industrial strategy partnership with Government to support the development of food and drink manufacturing, a sector in which the UK has a competitive advantage.

Food and drink manufacturing supports 3.9 million jobs across the £108 billion UK food chain and employs 400,000 people directly. Of these, almost a third (29%) are non-UK EU nationals. A large majority (71%) of companies surveyed employing EU staff report their EU employees have expressed concerns about the Referendum outcome, with around one in 12 (8.7%) reporting that EU employees intend to leave the UK. FDF is calling for urgent assurances for the industry's workforce from the EU that they will have leave to remain in the UK.

Food and drink producers face tough trading conditions, with three quarters of companies seeing ingredient prices increase largely as a result of the weak pound, with product margins falling for most survey respondents. This trend is expected by most companies to continue over the next 12 months. Urgent action from Government is needed to ensure essential imports of ingredients and raw materials from the EU and EU Free Trade Agreement (FTA) countries do not face tariffs or costly non-tariff barriers.

FDF's survey results reflect the sentiment of one third of its full membership including micro, small, medium and large food and drink manufacturers.

Ian Wright CBE, Director General of the Food and Drink Federation, said: “We share Government's view that we need to make the best of Brexit. Food and drink industry confidence is low. Slower revenue growth, coupled with prolonged business uncertainty, is affecting the industry's ability to invest.

“The assurances we heard from Government last week must be underpinned by credible plans for restoring confidence and negotiating a workable future relationship with the EU. Working with Government through an industrial strategy partnership, we believe we can counterbalance uncertainty arising from the EU exit process and secure world-class status for the sector.”

John Stevenson MP, Chair of the APPG for Food and Drink Manufacturing which meets today to discuss what Brexit means for the sector, said: “Brexit will present both challenges and, through sensible negotiation, opportunities for businesses in the UK's largest manufacturing sector – food and drink. Government and industry partnership has never been more important to the future of this vital sector. It is essential that colleagues in Government go into negotiations equipped with a clear understanding of this sector's priorities, which is why open dialogue and the active participation of food companies and their representative bodies in this debate is so essential. Food and drink is a national success story, with massive untapped opportunity to boost exports and improve its already impressive productivity performance, delivering even more for the UK economy.”

More Information

  • Food and drink is the largest manufacturing sector in the UK, accounting for 16% of total manufacturing by turnover and employing around 400,000 people across 6,620 businesses. It contributes £21.5bn of gross value added (GVA) to the British economy each year, which is nearly as much as the automotive and aerospace sectors combined, with 96% of the industry's businesses micro to medium- sized.
  • FDF's manifesto <a href=" Relationship.pdf">'A new UK-EU relationship: Priorities for the food and drink manufacturing industry'
  • The British Retail Consortium's Retail Monitor, published 11 October 2016, reveals that on a total basis, sales rose 1.3%, against a 3.9% increase in September 2015, which had been the best month of 2015, excluding Easter distortions.

For further information contact FDF's press office via or 020 420 7118/31/20

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Distribution channels: Food & Beverages